Research

Publication

• The Accuracy of IMF Crises Nowcasts, 2022, International Journal of Forecasting (with Theo Eicher)

• “Exchange Rates and Domestic Credit – Can Macroprudential Policy Reduce the Link?”, 2023, Chapter 12 in book “Shocks and Capital Flows Policy Responses in a Volatile World” (with E. Nier and T. Olafsson)

Working and Policy Paper:

• “The State of Emerging Markets: A New Perspective on Clusters and Taxonomies.”, 2015, IMF Working Paper No. 15/155 (with Z. Zhang)

• “Rethinking Financial Deepening: Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets.”, 2015, IMF Staff Discussion Note 15/08 (with Sahay, R, M. Cihak, P. N’Diaye, A. Barajas, R. Bi, D. Ayala, A. Kyobe, L. Nguyen, C. Saborowski, K. Svirydzenka, and S.R. Yousefi)

• “Emerging Markets in Transition: Growth Prospects and Challenges.”, 2014, IMF Staff Discussion Note 14/6 (with Cubeddu, L., A. Culiuc, G. Fayad, K. Kochhar, A. Kyobe, C. Oner, R. Perrelli, S. Sanya, E. Tsounta, Z. Zhang, et al.)

• “Assessing Reserve Adequacy – Further Considerations.”, 2013, IMF Policy Paper (with Porter, N., S. DAS, P, De Imus, G. Fayad, S. Hara, A. Khachatryan, K. Moriyama, N. Mwase, R. Perrelli, P. Sharma, et al.)

Work in Progress:

• Stress Testing Central Bank Balance Sheets (with R. Lafarguette, D. King, C. Fernandes, Y.Sakurai, R. Wytenburg)

• From Sand to Silicon: Digital Transformation in the GCC Economies (with F. Fareed, R. Bi, J.D. Lee, S. Rehman, T. Yuan)